FLY Report
📐 Position Simulator

FLY Position Calculator

Firefly Aerospace Inc. · Live P&L · R/R · Scale-out · Expected Value
Current Price
$26.71
Entry (pre-fill)
$21.00
Entry Price
$21.00
Shares
238.0952
Total Cost
$5,000.00
Break-even
$21.00
Tight Stop must be below entry
💰Investment Sizing
Investment Amount (USD)
$
Shares: 238.0952
🎯Entry Price
$
📍Target & Stop Levels
TP1
+65.33%
$
TP2
+93.33%
$
TP3 🌙
+186.19%
$
Tight Stop
+4.76%
$
Hard Stop
-19.05%
$
🌐Optional Settings
Portfolio Size (USD) — for % of portfolio
$
FX Rate (THB/USD) — show P&L in THB
฿/ $1
📤Scale-out Planner — % to Sell per TP
Allocate what % of position to sell at each TP (max 100% total)
TP1
100%
TP2
0%
TP3 🌙
0%
Total sold100%
🎲Scenario Probabilities
Adjust to sum to 100% — used to compute probability-weighted EV
Bear-30%
25%
Base+30%
35%
Bull+52%
30%
Moon+125%
10%
Total100%
Risk : Reward Ratio
4.9:1Excellent
012345
TP1
3.4:1
Strong
TP2
4.9:1
Excellent
TP3 🌙
9.8:1
Excellent
Tight SL $22.00 · risk $
Hard SL $17.00 · risk $952.38
Breakeven win rate 17%
📊Payoff Ladder — P&L per Level
loss| break-even |profit
TP1
$34.72
+$3,266.67 / +65.33%
TP2
$40.60
+$4,666.67 / +93.33%
TP3
$60.10
+$9,309.52 / +186.19%
Tight Stop
$22.00
+$238.10 / +4.76%
Hard Stop
$17.00
-$952.38 / -19.05%
center line = break-even = entry price
⚖️Max Loss vs Max Gain
Max Risk (Hard Stop)
-$952.38
-19.05%
Risking
$952.38$9,309.52
R/R 9.8:1
Max Reward (TP3)
+$9,309.52
+186.19%
📋Per-Level Results Table
LevelExit $Position ValueP&L $P&L %R/R (Tight)R/R (Hard)
TP1$34.72$8,266.67+$3,266.67+65.33%3.4:1 ✓
TP2$40.60$9,666.67+$4,666.67+93.33%4.9:1 ✓
TP3$60.10$14,309.52+$9,309.52+186.19%9.8:1 ✓
Tight Stop$22.00$5,238.10+$238.10+4.76%
Hard Stop$17.00$4,047.62-$952.38-19.05%
✓ R/R ≥ 3:1 = strong · ⚠ R/R < 2:1 = weak
🧠 Synthesis Layer
📐Blended Scale-Out — Staged Exit Profit
TP1 · 100%
+$3,266.67
TP2 · 0%
+$0.00
TP3 · 0%
+$0.00
Total Realized Profit
+$3,266.67+65.33%
🎲Expected Value — Probability-Weighted Outcome
Bear
p = 25%
-$1,500.00
Base
p = 35%
+$1,500.00
Bull
p = 30%
+$2,600.00
Moon
p = 10%
+$6,250.00
Expected Value
+$1,555.00+31.10%
This calculator is a planning tool only · Not financial advice