← FLY Report
📐 Position Simulator

FLY Position Calculator

Firefly Aerospace Inc. · Live P&L · R/R · Scale-out · Expected Value
Current Price
$23.24
Entry (pre-fill)
$19.50
Entry Price
$19.50
Shares
256.4103
Total Cost
$5,000.00
Break-even
$19.50
💰Investment Sizing
Investment Amount (USD)
$
→ Shares: 256.4103
🎯Entry Price
$
📍Target & Stop Levels
TP1
+72.82%
$
TP2
+96.67%
$
TP3 🌙
+156.26%
$
Tight Stop
-12.82%
$
Hard Stop
-25.64%
$
🌐Optional Settings
Portfolio Size (USD) — for % of portfolio
$
FX Rate (THB/USD) — show P&L in THB
฿/ $1
📤Scale-out Planner — % to Sell per TP
Allocate what % of position to sell at each TP (max 100% total)
TP1
100%
TP2
0%
TP3 🌙
0%
Total sold100%
🎲Scenario Probabilities
Adjust to sum to 100% — used to compute probability-weighted EV
Bear-35%
25%
Base+45%
35%
Bull+65%
30%
Moon+115%
10%
Total100%
⚖ Risk : Reward Ratio
7.5:1Excellent
012345
TP1
5.7:1
Excellent
TP2
7.5:1
Excellent
TP3 🌙
12.2:1
Excellent
Tight SL $17.00 · risk $641.03
Hard SL $14.50 · risk $1,282.05
Breakeven win rate 12%
📊Payoff Ladder — P&L per Level
← loss| break-even |profit →
TP1
$33.70
+$3,641.03 / +72.82%
TP2
$38.35
+$4,833.33 / +96.67%
TP3
$49.97
+$7,812.82 / +156.26%
Tight Stop
$17.00
-$641.03 / -12.82%
Hard Stop
$14.50
-$1,282.05 / -25.64%
center line = break-even = entry price
⚖️Max Loss vs Max Gain
Max Risk (Hard Stop)
-$1,282.05
-25.64%
Risking
$1,282.05→$7,812.82
R/R 6.1:1
Max Reward (TP3)
+$7,812.82
+156.26%
📋Per-Level Results Table
LevelExit $Position ValueP&L $P&L %R/R (Tight)R/R (Hard)
TP1$33.70$8,641.03+$3,641.03+72.82%5.7:1 ✓2.8:1
TP2$38.35$9,833.33+$4,833.33+96.67%7.5:1 ✓3.8:1 ✓
TP3$49.97$12,812.82+$7,812.82+156.26%12.2:1 ✓6.1:1 ✓
Tight Stop$17.00$4,358.97-$641.03-12.82%——
Hard Stop$14.50$3,717.95-$1,282.05-25.64%——
✓ R/R ≥ 3:1 = strong · ⚠ R/R < 2:1 = weak
🧠 Synthesis Layer
📐Blended Scale-Out — Staged Exit Profit
TP1 · 100%
+$3,641.03
TP2 · 0%
+$0.00
TP3 · 0%
+$0.00
Total Realized Profit
+$3,641.03+72.82%
🎲Expected Value — Probability-Weighted Outcome
Bear
p = 25%
-$1,750.00
Base
p = 35%
+$2,250.00
Bull
p = 30%
+$3,250.00
Moon
p = 10%
+$5,750.00
Expected Value
+$1,900.00+38.00%
This calculator is a planning tool only · Not financial advice