FLY Report
📐 Position Simulator

FLY Position Calculator

Firefly Aerospace · Live P&L · R/R · Scale-out · Expected Value
Current Price
$29.23
Entry (pre-fill)
$25.50
Entry Price
$25.50
Shares
196.0784
Total Cost
$5,000.00
Break-even
$25.50
💰Investment Sizing
Investment Amount (USD)
$
Shares: 196.0784
🎯Entry Price
$
📍Target & Stop Levels
TP1
+45.10%
$
TP2
+88.24%
$
TP3 🌙
+139.22%
$
Tight Stop
-5.88%
$
Hard Stop
-29.41%
$
🌐Optional Settings
Portfolio Size (USD) — for % of portfolio
$
FX Rate (THB/USD) — show P&L in THB
฿/ $1
📤Scale-out Planner — % to Sell per TP
Allocate what % of position to sell at each TP (max 100% total)
TP1
100%
TP2
0%
TP3 🌙
0%
Total sold100%
🎲Scenario Probabilities
Adjust to sum to 100% — used to compute probability-weighted EV
Bear-30%
25%
Base+25%
35%
Bull+65%
30%
Moon+110%
10%
Total100%
Risk : Reward Ratio
15.0:1Excellent
012345
TP1
7.7:1
Excellent
TP2
15.0:1
Excellent
TP3 🌙
23.7:1
Excellent
Tight SL $24.00 · risk $294.12
Hard SL $18.00 · risk $1,470.59
Breakeven win rate 6%
📊Payoff Ladder — P&L per Level
loss| break-even |profit
TP1
$37.00
+$2,254.90 / +45.10%
TP2
$48.00
+$4,411.76 / +88.24%
TP3
$61.00
+$6,960.78 / +139.22%
Tight Stop
$24.00
-$294.12 / -5.88%
Hard Stop
$18.00
-$1,470.59 / -29.41%
center line = break-even = entry price
⚖️Max Loss vs Max Gain
Max Risk (Hard Stop)
-$1,470.59
-29.41%
Risking
$1,470.59$6,960.78
R/R 4.7:1
Max Reward (TP3)
+$6,960.78
+139.22%
📋Per-Level Results Table
LevelExit $Position ValueP&L $P&L %R/R (Tight)R/R (Hard)
TP1$37.00$7,254.90+$2,254.90+45.10%7.7:1 ✓1.5:1 ⚠
TP2$48.00$9,411.76+$4,411.76+88.24%15.0:1 ✓3.0:1 ✓
TP3$61.00$11,960.78+$6,960.78+139.22%23.7:1 ✓4.7:1 ✓
Tight Stop$24.00$4,705.88-$294.12-5.88%
Hard Stop$18.00$3,529.41-$1,470.59-29.41%
✓ R/R ≥ 3:1 = strong · ⚠ R/R < 2:1 = weak
🧠 Synthesis Layer
📐Blended Scale-Out — Staged Exit Profit
TP1 · 100%
+$2,254.90
TP2 · 0%
+$0.00
TP3 · 0%
+$0.00
Total Realized Profit
+$2,254.90+45.10%
🎲Expected Value — Probability-Weighted Outcome
Bear
p = 25%
-$1,500.00
Base
p = 35%
+$1,250.00
Bull
p = 30%
+$3,250.00
Moon
p = 10%
+$5,500.00
Expected Value
+$1,587.50+31.75%
This calculator is a planning tool only · Not financial advice